Weekly Market Report : November 21, 2008


INDICATIVE FIXED BALE PRICING OPTIONS - November 21, 2008

2009 2010 2011
43.57 48.02 49.04
$361 $403 $424

All cotton contract offers based on Middling 1-1/8" (31-3, 36) 3.5 - 4.9 Mic, 500 lb/Bale, Ex-Gin
14 Day Payment Terms

All prices quoted are exclusive of GST. This report is prepared from information supplied to Queensland Cotton. No responsibility is accepted by Queensland Cotton or its employees for the accuracy of the report. Basis quotes may differ from the cash price basis equivalent.


NYF Date Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday
Dec 08
Mar 09
May 09
Jul 09
Oct 09
Dec 09
Mar 10
Volume
39.37 -166
41.62 -89
42.63 -91
43.78 -93
46.28 -62
47.58 -72
50.90 -65
17,400
39.39 +2
41.84 +22
42.90 +27
44.23 +45
46.73 +45
48.19 +61
51.21 +31
16,500
40.81 +142
41.78 -6
42.59 -31
43.76 -47
46.10 -63
47.80 -39
50.97 -24
18,500
39.64 -117
39.91 -187
40.57 -202
41.66 -210
44.16 -194
45.85 -195
49.02 -195
26,800

AUSSIE DOLLAR SPOT INDICATIVE FORWARDS QLD COTTON SHARES
0.6088 -0.0050 2009 Last Sale:
-0.0130 2010
-0.0300 2011

The economic crisis seemed to be the major cause for the fall again in futures contracts overnight. A deepening recession may be in store with falling equity markets and fund liquidation. A strengthening US dollar put pressure on cotton and saw the AUD drop to a low of 0.6079. Trading volume was up with an estimated 26,800 contracts traded due largely to expiry of the Dec 08 contract. Futures prices are now at the lowest levels we have seen for 5 years although the downward trend in cotton is not out of place with other commodities. All in all its a bleak outlook at this stage with the knock on effect of the global economic crisis putting pressure on mill customers to cancel orders.

The AUD traded a range of 0.6079 to 0.6357 overnight back within range of October lows of 0.6010. The AUD weakened in line with sliding US stocks, soft data and lower oil prices. Trading remains volatile this morning.

 

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